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100-Biomarker Lab Test for Alzheimer’s Disease Developed by Team at University of Pittsburgh

New clinical laboratory test could replace conventional spinal tap for diagnosing neurodegenerative disease

In a proof-of-concept study, University of Pittsburgh (Pitt) scientists validated a clinical laboratory test that measures more than 100 different genetic sequences associated with Alzheimer’s disease. The Pitt researchers believe the new diagnostic platform could help clinicians “capture the multifaceted nature of Alzheimer’s pathology and streamline early disease diagnostics,” according to a news release.

Clinical laboratory blood tests that detect biomarkers such as phosphorylated tau protein (pTau) have emerged in studies as diagnostic possibilities for Alzheimer’s disease, which is traditionally diagnosed using a lumbar puncture (spinal tap) procedure.

The Pitt scientists published the findings of their study titled, “Multi-Analyte Proteomic Analysis Identifies Blood-based Neuroinflammation, Cerebrovascular, and Synaptic Biomarkers in Preclinical Alzheimer’s Disease,” in the journal Molecular Neurodegeneration.

In their paper, neuroscientist Thomas Karikari, PhD, Assistant Professor of Psychiatry at  University of Pittsburgh, lead author of the study, and his research team acknowledged that progress has been made in detecting Alzheimer’s disease with blood-based biomarkers. However, they note that “two key obstacles remain: the lack of methods for multi-analyte assessments and the need for biomarkers for related pathophysiological processes like neuroinflammation, vascular, and synaptic dysfunction.”

The Pitt scientists believe the focus on so-called “classical Alzheimer’s blood biomarkers” limits exploration of neurodegenerative disease.

“Alzheimer’s disease should not be looked at through one single lens. Capturing aspects of Alzheimer’s pathology in a panel of clinically validated biomarkers would increase the likelihood of stopping the disease before any cognitive symptoms emerge,” said neuroscientist Thomas Karikari, PhD (above), Assistant Professor of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh, and lead author of the study in a news release. Should further studies prove Pitt’s research sound, clinical laboratories may have a replacement test for diagnosing neurodegenerative disease. (Photo copyright: University of Pittsburgh.)

120 Proteins Analyzed Simultaneously

To conduct their research, the Pitt scientists performed a proof-of-concept study on 176 blood samples from 113 adults in Pennsylvania (average age of 76.7). They analyzed the blood using the NULISAseq CNS (central nervous system) Disease Panel 120 by Alamar Biosciences of Freemont, California.

On its website, Alamar Biosciences explains that the disease panel offers neurological researchers:

  • “Multiplexed analysis of 120 neuro-specific and inflammatory proteins from 10 µl of plasma or CSF (cerebrospinal fluid).
  • Detection of “critical biomarkers—including pTau-217, GFAP (glial fibrillary acidic protein), NEFL (neurofilament light polypeptide) and alpha-synuclein.”

The NULISAseq test works with “a proprietary sequential immunocomplex capture and release mechanism and the latest advances in next-generation sequencing,” according to the company.

Inside Precision Medicine noted that the Alamar Biosciences assay enabled Pitt scientists to detect:

  • Biomarkers (usually found in CSF) “correlating with patients’ amyloid positivity status and changes in amyloid burden over time,” and,
  • Biomarkers including “neuroinflammation, synaptic function, and vascular health, which had not previously been validated in blood samples.”

“The performance of the NULISA platform was independently validated against conventional assays for classic Alzheimer’s biomarkers for each sample. Biomarker profiles over two years were also compared with imaging-based measures of amyloid, tau, and neurodegeneration,” LabMedica reported.

Opportunity to Track Alzheimer’s

Karikari sees the diagnostic platform being used to track individuals’ blood biomarker changes over time. 

In their Molecular Neurodegeneration paper, the Pitt researchers wrote, “These (results) were not limited to markers such as pTau217, p-Tau231, p-Tau181, and GFAP, the elevation of which have consistently shown strong associations with brain Aβ [amyloid beta] and/or tau load, but included novel protein targets that inform about the disease state of the individual in different pathological stages across the biological Alzheimer’s disease continuum.”

About seven million Americans are affected by Alzheimer’s disease, according to the Alzheimer’s Association, which estimated that figure will grow to 13 billion by 2050.

Further studies by Karikari may include larger samples and greater diversity among the people studied, Inside Precision Medicine noted.

“[Karikari’s] lab is developing a predictive model that correlates biomarker changes detected using NULISAseq with brain autopsy data and cognitive assessments collected over the course of several years. Their goal is to identify blood biomarkers that can help stage the disease and predict its progression, both for decision-making around clinical management and treatment plans,” the Pitt news release states.

His research was supported by the National Institute on Aging.

The Pitt scientists have developed a multiplex test that works with 100 different genetic sequences associated with Alzheimer’s. Such advances in the understanding of the human genome are giving scientists the opportunity to combine newly identified gene sequences that have a role in specific disease states.

In turn, as further studies validate the value of these biomarkers for diagnosing disease and guiding treatment decisions, clinical laboratories will have new assays that deliver more value to referring physicians and their patients.

—Donna Marie Pocius

Related Information:

Pitt Scientists Validated a New Panel for Blood Biomarkers of Alzheimer’s

Multi-Analyte Proteomic Analysis Identifies Blood-based Neuroinflammation, Cerebrovascular, and Synaptic Biomarkers in Preclinical Alzheimer’s Disease

Innovative Blood Test Validated for Comprehensive Early Alzheimer’s Diagnosis

New Blood Test Platform Simultaneously Measures Over 100 Biomarkers of Alzheimer’s Disease

Cerebrospinal Fluid and Plasma Tau as a Biomarker for Brain Tauopathy

CDC Enlists Five Commercial Medical Laboratories to Bolster Avian Flu Testing Capacity in the United States

Move comes following criticism from public health experts over the federal agency’s difficulties creating clinical laboratory tests for COVID-19

Amid the ongoing outbreak of the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A(H5N1) bird flu virus, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) announced on Sept. 13 that it is awarding contracts to five clinical laboratory companies to bolster testing capacity for “new and emerging pathogens,” including HPAI A(H5N1).

Citing Nirav Shah, MD, MPH, Senior Scholar, Clinical Excellence Research Center at Stanford University School of Medicine and co-chair of the Data and Surveillance Workgroup (DSW) at the CDC, the Associated Press (AP), reported that the agency will initially spend at least $5 million on the effort, with “plans to scale up to $118 million over the next five years if necessary.”

The five medical laboratory companies the CDC chose are:

“Previously … CDC developed tests for emerging pathogens and then shared those tests with others, and then after that, commercial labs would develop their own tests,” Shah told CNN. “That process took time. Now with these new arrangements, commercial labs will be developing new tests for public health responses alongside CDC, not after CDC.”

In a news release announcing the contract, ARUP Laboratories also characterized the move as a shift for the agency.

“The new contract formalizes ARUP’s relationship with the CDC,” said Benjamin Bradley, MD, PhD, medical director of the ARUP Institute for Research and Innovation in Infectious Disease Genomic Technologies, High Consequence Pathogen Response, Virology, and Molecular Infectious Diseases. “We continue to expand our capabilities to address public health crises and are prepared to scale up testing for H5N1, or develop other tests quickly, should the need arise.”

“To be clear, we have no evidence so far that this [bird flu] virus can easily infect human beings or that it can spread between human beings easily in a sustained fashion,” Jennifer Nuzzo, DrPH (above), Director of the Pandemic Center and Professor of Epidemiology at Brown University School of Public Health, told CNN. “If it did have those abilities, we would be in a pandemic.” Clinical laboratory leaders will recall the challenges at the CDC as it developed its SARS-CoV-2 test early in the COVID-19 pandemic. (Photo copyright: Brown University.)

Missouri Case Raises Concerns

The first human infection of HPAI was reported in late March following a farmer’s “exposure to dairy cows presumably infected with bird flu,” the CDC stated in its June 3, 2024, bird flu Situation Summary. That followed confirmation by the USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) of an HPAI outbreak in commercial poultry flocks in February 2022, and the CDC’s confirmation of the first known infections in dairy herds reported on March 25, 2024.

Concerns about the outbreak were heightened in September following news that a person in Missouri had been infected with the virus despite having no known contact with infected animals. CNN reported that it was the 14th human case in the US this year, but all previous cases were in farm workers known to be exposed to infected dairy cattle or poultry.

In a news release, the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services (DHSS) revealed that the patient, who was not identified, was hospitalized on Aug. 22. This person had “underlying medical conditions,” DHSS reported, and has since recovered and was sent home. Both DHSS and the CDC conducted tests to determine that the virus was the H5 subtype, the news release states.

At present, the CDC states that the public health risk from the virus is low. However, public health experts are concerned that risks could rise as the weather gets cooler, creating opportunities for the virus to mutate “since both cows and other flu viruses will be on the move,” CNN reported.

Concerns over CDC Testing and FDA Oversight

In the months immediately following the first human case of the bird flu virus, Nuzzo was among several public health experts sounding an alarm about the country’s ability to ramp up testing in the face of new pathogens.

“We’re flying blind,” she told KFF Health News in June, due to an inability to track infections in farmworkers. At that time, tests had been distributed to approximately 100 public health labs, but Nuzzo and other experts noted that doctors typically order tests from commercial laboratories and universities.

“Pull us into the game. We’re stuck on the bench,” Alex Greninger MD, PhD, of the University of Washington Medicine Clinical Virology Laboratory, told KFF News.

KFF reported that one diagnostics company, Neelyx Labs, ran into obstacles as it tried to license the CDC’s bird flu test. Founder, CEO, and lead scientist Shyam Saladi, PhD, told KFF that the federal agency had promised to cooperate by facilitating a license and a “right to reference” CDC data when applying for FDA authorization but was slow to come through.

While acknowledging the need for testing accuracy, Greninger contended that the CDC was prioritizing caution over speed, as it did in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. “The CDC should be trying to open this up to labs with national reach and a good reputation,” he told KFF.

Another problem, KFF reported, related to the FDA’s new oversight of laboratory developed tests (LDTs), which is causing labs to move cautiously in developing their own tests.

“It’s slowing things down because it’s adding to the confusion about what is allowable,” American Clinical Laboratory Association (ACLA) President Susan Van Meter told KFF.

New Testing Playbook

Jennifer Nuzzo, DrPH (above), Director of the Pandemic Center and Professor of Epidemiology at the Brown University School of Public Health co-authored a June 2024 analysis in Health Affairs that called on the CDC to develop “a better testing playbook for biological emergencies.” The authors’ analysis cited earlier problems with the responses to the COVID-19 and mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) outbreaks.

If global surveillance networks have detected a novel pathogen, the authors advise, the US should gather information and “begin examining the existing testing landscape” within the first 48 hours.

Once the pathogen is detected in the US, they continued, FDA-authorized tests should be distributed to public health laboratories and the CDC’s Laboratory Response Network (LRN) laboratories within 48 hours.

Advocates of this approach suggest that within the first week diagnostics manufacturers should begin developing their own tests and the federal government should begin working with commercial labs. Then, within the first month, commercial laboratories should be using FDA-authorized tests to provide “high throughput capacity.”

This may be good advice. Experts in the clinical laboratory and healthcare professions believe there needs to be improvement in how novel tests are developed and made available as novel infectious agents are identified.

—Stephen Beale

Related Information:

CDC Adds Commercial Lab Contracts for Infectious Disease, Bird Flu Testing

Strengthening Response to Public Health Threats through Expanded Laboratory Testing and Access to Data

ARUP Awarded CDC Contract for Bird Flu Test Development

Test Surge and Data Sharing Multiple Award Indefinite Delivery Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) Solicitation

Interim Guidance on Specimen Collection and Testing for Patients with Suspected Infection with Novel Influenza A Viruses Associated with Severe Disease or with the Potential to Cause Severe Disease in Humans

Current H5N1 Bird Flu Situation in Dairy Cows

The US Is Entering a Riskier Season for Spread of H5N1 Bird Flu. Here’s Why Experts Are Worried

Wastewater Testing Specifically for Bird Flu Virus Will Scale Up Nationally in Coming Weeks

Wastewater Surveillance for Influenza A Virus and H5 Subtype Concurrent with the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A(H5N1) Virus Outbreak in Cattle and Poultry and Associated Human Cases

Two California Farmworkers Test Positive for Bird Flu

Avian Flu Spreading in California Raises Pandemic Threat for Humans

Bird Flu Is Spreading. Why Aren’t More People Getting Tested?

Why Fears of Human-to-Human Bird Flu Spread in Missouri Are Overblown

The United States Needs a Better Testing Playbook for Future Public Health Emergencies

Brigham and Women’s Hospital Researchers Develop Blood Test That Enables Rapid Diagnosis of LVO Stroke in Non-hospital Settings

New technique could allow emergency responders to determine severity of LVO stroke while patient is still in the ambulance

Researchers at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Massachusetts say they have developed a clinical laboratory test that can quickly determine whether a patient is experiencing one of the deadliest types of strokes, known as an ischemic large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke. The development team believes this new assay could be deployed as a point-of-care test to enable faster diagnosis of stroke events.

The test combines measurement of two blood plasma biomarkers with an established clinical score used by clinicians and EMS personnel to assess stroke severity. Compared with current approaches, their technique more accurately differentiates LVO strokes from other types of strokes, making it more likely that patients receive appropriate treatment in a timely manner, the researchers said in a Brigham news release.

Dark Daily has long predicted that advances in technology and computing power would make it possible for pathologists and clinical laboratory scientists to combine multiple established biomarkers (individually not associated with the disease state targeted) with other clinical and patient data to create the ability to make an accurate and earlier diagnosis.

The researchers published their findings in the journal Stroke: Vascular and Interventional Neurology titled, “Prospective Validation of Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein, d‐Dimer, and Clinical Scales for Acute Large‐Vessel Occlusion Ischemic Stroke Detection.”

Ultimately, Brigham’s research could “aid in the development of a point‐of‐care diagnostic test capable of guiding prehospital LVO stroke triage,” wrote Joshua Bernstock, MD, PhD, Clinical Fellow in Neurosurgery at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, lead author of the study, and colleagues.

“We have developed a game-changing, accessible tool that could help ensure that more people suffering from stroke are in the right place at the right time to receive critical, life-restoring care,” said Joshua Bernstock, MD, PhD (above), Clinical Fellow in Neurosurgery at Brigham and Women’s Hospital and lead author of the Brigham study that developed the clinical laboratory test that the researchers say can enable emergency caregivers to determine quickly and accurately if a patient is having an ischemic large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke. (Photo copyright: Brigham and Women’s Hospital.)

Early Identification of LVO Stroke

As explained in the news release, an LVO stroke is a type of ischemic stroke caused by obstruction in a major brain artery. The researchers noted that LVO strokes account for “62% of poststroke disabilities and 96% of poststroke death.”

These strokes are readily treatable using endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), in which the blockages are surgically removed, the news release note. However, the researchers observed that EVT “requires specialized teams and equipment, limiting its availability to comprehensive stroke centers and other EVT‐capable centers.”

This can lead to delays as patients are transferred to those facilities, worsening outcomes and increasing the risk of death, the researchers wrote in Stroke: Vascular and Interventional Neurology. So, early identification of LVO stroke is key to ensuring patients receive timely treatment.

Identifying False Negatives/Positives

One challenge, the news release notes, is that brain bleeds (hemorrhagic stroke) can present similar symptoms, yet require “vastly different” treatment.

“A growing body of work has, therefore, evaluated prehospital stroke assessment scales in an effort to identify LVO strokes in the field,” the researchers wrote. “However, such severity scales lack the sensitivity and specificity required for triaging LVO patients with confidence, resulting in false negatives in patients with LVO as well as false positives in patients with stroke mimics or hemorrhagic stroke.”

As explained by EMS Aware, these assessment scales, such as FAST-ED (field assessment stroke triage for emergency destination) and RACE (rapid arterial occlusion evaluation), attempt to determine the severity of a stroke by assigning scores based on symptoms such as facial palsy, arm weakness, and speech difficulties.

To develop their test, Bernstock and colleagues proposed combining the scales with measurement of two blood proteins:

In their study, they attempted to validate cutoff values for the biomarkers and scales.

To do so, the researchers analyzed data from 323 patients admitted to a Florida hospital with suspected stroke between May 2021 and August 2022. Each was assigned to one of four diagnostic categories based on clinical data from their medical records, which included results of computed tomography (CT scan) or magnetic resonance angiography (MRA). The diagnostic categories included:

The patients were assessed using five stroke severity scales. The researchers used frozen blood samples from the patients to measure the biomarkers. They then used this data to determine the likelihood of LVO stroke and compared the results with the diagnoses as determined by the clinical data.

“Combinations of the blood biomarkers with the scales FAST‐ED or RACE showed the best performance for LVO detection, with a specificity of 94% (for either scale combination) and a sensitivity of 71% for both scales,” the researchers wrote.

Sensitivity was higher in patients who presented within the first six hours from onset of symptoms.

“Critically, application of the biomarker and stroke scale algorithms ruled out all patients with hemorrhage,” the researchers wrote. However, they also suggested that their algorithm could be adjusted to enable early identification of hemorrhagic stroke.

The researchers noted that they chose biomarker cutoffs to maximize specificity, so “a certain number of LVOs are missed. However, as such patients default into ‘standard‐of‐care’ triaging pathways, such a decision is unlikely to represent much clinical risk.”

Testing in the Field

The Brigham researchers used established biological biomarkers combined with modern computing—in combination with the scores from a field assessment test—to develop their new clinical laboratory test that identifies the type of stroke.

Their next step is to carry out “another prospective trial to measure the test’s performance when used in an ambulance,” the news release states. “They have also designed an interventional trial that leverages the technology to expedite the triage of stroke patients by having them bypass standard imaging and move directly to intervention.”

“In stroke care, time is brain,” Bernstock said. “The sooner a patient is put on the right care pathway, the better they are going to do. Whether that means ruling out bleeds or ruling in something that needs an intervention, being able to do this in a prehospital setting with the technology that we built is going to be truly transformative.”

More research and clinical studies are needed. However, the fact that the Brigham team wants to deploy this approach in ambulances is an indication that there is high clinical value from this approach.

Clinical pathologists and medical laboratory managers will want to watch the ongoing development and deployment of this new assay, whether it is run in near-patient settings or core clinical laboratories in support of patients presenting in emergency departments.

—Stephen Beale

Related Information:

Researchers Develop “Game-Changing” Blood Test for Stroke Detection

Prospective Validation of Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein, d‐Dimer, and Clinical Scales for Acute Large‐Vessel Occlusion Ischemic Stroke Detection

New Blood Test Could Spot Dangerous Type of Stroke

Researchers Develop a Blood Test That Can Detect Stroke Quickly

Blood Test a ‘Game Changer’ for Faster Diagnosis, Treatment of LVO Stroke

New Rapid Blood Test Can Accurately Detect Stroke in Six Hours, Save Lives

Washington University Researchers Uses Medical Laboratory Test Results and Big Data to Find Accelerated Aging and Risk of Early Cancer in Young Adults

Study shows that computer analysis of clinical laboratory test results has improved greatly in recent years

Studies using “big data” continue to show how combining different types of healthcare information can generate insights not available with smaller datasets. In this case, researchers at Washington University School of Medicine (WashU Medicine), St. Louis, Mo., determined that—by using the results from nine different types of clinical laboratory tests—they could correlate those test results to younger people who had “aged faster” and had developed cancer earlier than usual, according to CNN.

“Accumulating evidence suggests that the younger generations may be aging more swiftly than anticipated, likely due to earlier exposure to various risk factors and environmental insults. However, the impact of accelerated aging on early-onset cancer development remains unclear,” said Ruiyi Tian, PhD candidate at WashU Medicine’s Yin Cao Lab in an American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) news release.

The scientists presented their findings, which have not yet been published, at the AACR’s annual meeting held in April. Tian and the other researchers “hypothesized that increased biological age, indicative of accelerated aging, may contribute to the development of early-onset cancers, often defined as cancers diagnosed in adults younger than 55 years. In contrast to chronological age—which measures how long a person has been alive—biological age refers to the condition of a person’s body and physiological processes and is considered modifiable,” AACR noted in a news release.

“We all know cancer is an aging disease. However, it is really coming to a younger population. So, whether we can use the well-developed concept of biological aging to apply that to the younger generation is a really untouched area,” Yin Cao, ScD MPH (above), associate professor of surgery and associate professor of medicine at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, and senior author of the study, told CNN. Analysis of clinical laboratory test results using computer algorithms continues to show value for new research into deadly diseases. (Photo copyright: Washington University.)

Lab Tests Share Insights about Aging

To acquire the data they needed for their research, the WashU Medicine scientists turned to the UK Biobank, a biomedical and research resource with genetic and health information on half a million UK residents.

The researchers reviewed the medical records of 148,724 biobank participants, age 37 to 54, focusing on nine blood-based biomarkers that “have been shown to correlate with biological age,” CNN reported. Those biomarkers are:

According to CNN, the researchers “plugged” the nine values into an algorithm called PhenoAge. Using the algorithm they compared the biological ages with each person’s actual chronological age to determine “accelerated aging.” They then consulted cancer registries to capture data on those in the study who were diagnosed with cancer before age 55. They found 3,200 cases.

Young Adults Aging Faster than Earlier Generations

According to the AACR news release, the WashU Medicine study found that:

  • “Individuals born in or after 1965 had a 17% higher likelihood of accelerated aging than those born between 1950 and 1954.
  • “Each standard deviation increase in accelerated aging was associated with a 42% increased risk of early-onset lung cancer, a 22% increased risk of early-onset gastrointestinal cancer, and a 36% increased risk of early-onset uterine cancer.
  • “Accelerated aging did not significantly impact the risk of late-onset lung cancer (defined here as cancer diagnosed after age 55), but it was associated with a 16% and 23% increased risk of late-onset gastrointestinal and uterine cancers, respectively.”

“We speculate that common pathways, such as chronic inflammation and cellular senescence, may link accelerated aging to the development of early-onset cancers,” the study’s principal investigator Yin Cao, ScD, MPH, associate professor of surgery and associate professor of medicine at WashU Medicine, told The Hill.

“Historically, both cancer and aging have been viewed primarily as concerns for older populations. The realization that cancer, and now aging, are becoming significant issues for younger demographics over the past decades was unexpected,” Tian told Fox News.

More Screenings, Further Analysis

The study’s results may suggest a change in clinical laboratory screenings for younger people.

“We see cancers earlier all the time now, and nobody knows why. The subset in the population that has accelerated aging may need screening more often or earlier,” Emanuela Taioli, MD, PhD, professor of population health and science and of thoracic surgery, and director of the Institute for Translational Epidemiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, told Health.

In future studies, WashU Medicine scientists may aim to include groups of greater diversity and explore why people are aging faster and have risk of early-onset cancers. 

“There is room to improve using better technologies. Looking at the bigger picture, the aging concept can be applied to younger people to include cancers, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes,” Cao told Discover Magazine.

While more research is needed, use of the UK’s Biobank of healthcare data—including clinical laboratory test results—enabled the WashU Medicine researchers to determine that accelerated aging among young adults is happening with some regularity. This shows that capabilities in computer analysis are gaining more refined capabilities and are able to tease out insights impossible to achieve with earlier generations of analytical software.

These findings should inspire clinical laboratory professionals and pathologists to look for opportunities to collaborate in healthcare big data projects involving their patients and the communities they serve.

—Donna Marie Pocius

Related Information:

Accelerated Aging May Increase the Risk of Early-onset Cancers in Younger Generations

Accelerated Aging Linked to Cancer Risk in Younger Adults, Research Shows

An Epigenetic Biomarker of Aging for Lifespan and Health Span in Aging

Accelerated Aging May be a Cause of Increased Cancers in People under 55

Cancer Rates Rising in Young People Due to “Accelerated Aging,” New Study Finds

Research Shows Accelerated Aging Linked to Increased Cancer Risk in Younger Adults

Rate of Biological Aging is Accelerating in Young People, Leading to Medical Issues

Lancet Study Finds Urgent Need for Improvement in Clinical Laboratory Prostate Cancer Screening Worldwide

Ongoing increases in the global number of prostate cancer cases expected to motivate test developers to deliver better screening tests to pathologists and clinical lab scientists

No less an authority than the peer-reviewed healthcare journal The Lancet is drawing attention to predictions of increasing prostate cancer cases across the globe, triggering calls for the development of cheaper, faster, and more accurate assays that pathologists and medical laboratories can use to screen for—and diagnose—prostate cancer.

Swift population growth and rising life expectancy will cause the prostate cancer death rate to nearly double in the next 20 years, according to a new study that has led scientists to call for immediate, critical improvements in clinical laboratory testing for cancer screening, Financial Times (FT) reported.

The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) partnered with The Lancet Commission for the study. They found the strongest need is with underserved populations.

“Low- and middle-income countries need to prepare to prevent a sharp rise in fatalities while richer nations should pay more attention to young men at higher risk of the disease,” FT noted. The study, titled, “The Lancet Commission on Prostate Cancer: Planning for the Surge in Cases,” predicts cases will jump from 1.4 million in 2020 to 2.9 million by 2040.

“Prostate cancer is the most common cancer in men in 112 countries, and accounts for 15% of cancers. In this Commission, we report projections of prostate cancer cases in 2040 on the basis of data for demographic changes worldwide and rising life expectancy. … This surge in cases cannot be prevented by lifestyle changes or public health interventions alone, and governments need to prepare strategies to deal with it,” the study authors wrote.

“The findings in this Commission provide a pathway forward for healthcare providers and funders, public health bodies, research funders, governments, and the broader patient and clinical community,” the authors noted. In their Lancet paper, the researchers define clear areas for improvement.

Given the shortage worldwide of pathologists—especially highly-trained pathologists—the gap between the demand/need for expanded prostate cancer testing as screens (along with prostate biopsies) and the available supply of pathologists will encourage companies to develop screening and diagnostic tests that are accurate and automated, thus increasing the productivity of the available pathologists.

“As more and more men around the world live to middle and old age, there will be an inevitable rise in the number of prostate cancer cases. We know this surge in cases is coming, so we need to start planning and take action now,” said Nick James, PhD (above), Professor of Prostate and Bladder Cancer Research at The Institute of Cancer Research, in a press release. Pathologists and medical laboratories worldwide will want to monitor progress of The Lancet Commission’s recommendations. (Photo copyright: Institute of Cancer Research.)

Focus on Outreach, AI, Research/Development

“The only thing you can do to mitigate the damage … is to set up programs that diagnose it earlier to allow earlier treatment,” Nick James, PhD, The Lancet Commission study’s lead author, told the Financial Times. James is Professor of Prostate and Bladder Cancer Research at The Institute of Cancer Research (IRC) and The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, London.

“Evidence-based interventions, such as improved early detection and education programs, will help to save lives and prevent ill health from prostate cancer in the years to come. This is especially true for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) which will bear the overwhelming brunt of future cases,” he said in a press release.

Communication is key. “Improved outreach programs are needed to better inform people of the key signs to look out for and what to do next,” James N’Dow, MD, Professor and Chair in Surgery and Director of the Academic Urology Unit at the University of Aberdeen in the UK, told the Financial Times. “Implementing these in tandem with investments in cost-effective early diagnostic systems will be key to preventing deaths,” he added.

Capitalizing on artificial intelligence (AI) analysis to help translate results was another area The Lancet Commission researchers focused on, Financial Times noted.

AI could “subdivide disease into potentially valuable additional subgroups to help with treatment selection. In environments with few or no pathologists, these changes could be transformational,” the study authors wrote.

High Income Countries (HICs) would benefit from AI by empowering patients. “Linking cloud-based records to artificial intelligence systems could allow access to context-sensitive, up-to-date advice for both patients and health professionals, and could be used to drive evidence-based change in all settings,” the study authors added. Such a trend could lead to specialist prostate cancer pathologists being referred cases from around the world as digital pathology systems become faster and less expensive.

Effective treatment strategies and bolstering areas of need is also key, the study notes. “Many LMICs have urgent need for expansion of radiotherapy and surgery services,” the study authors wrote. The researchers stress the need to immediately implement expansion programs to keep up with anticipated near-future demand.

Cancer drug therapy should follow suit.

“Research and the development of risk-stratified regulatory models need to be facilitated,” the study authors noted, citing a focus on drug repurposing and dose de-escalation. “Novel clinical trial designs, such as multi-arm platforms, should be supported and expanded,” they added.

Unique Needs of LMICs, HICs

The Lancet Commission researchers’ recommendations shift depending on the financial health of a specific area. HICs are experiencing a 30-year decline in the number of deaths resulting from prostate cancer, presumably from additional testing measures and public health campaigns that may be lacking in LMICs, Financial Times reported. And as population growth soars, low-to-middle income populations “will need to be prepared for the strain the expected surge in cases will put on health resources.”

For HICs, the study dissected the limitations of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. The researchers pointed out that PSA’s inaccuracies in screening symptomless patients can pinpoint “cancers that may never cause symptoms and need no treatment,” Financial Times reported.

Missing high-risk cases was also a cause for concern. “Diagnostic pathways should be modified to facilitate early detection of prostate cancer while avoiding overdiagnosis and overtreatment of trivial disease,” the study notes.

Screenings for high-risk younger men, and continuing public campaigns about prostate cancer, should be a focus for HICs, the study authors noted. “These would include people who have a family history of the disease, are of African ancestry, or carry a genetic mutation known as BRCA2,” Financial Times reported.

While the undertaking may sound intimidating—there is already such a heavy impact worldwide from prostate cancer—the researchers are optimistic of their recommendations.

“Options to improve care are already available at moderate cost. We found that late diagnosis is widespread worldwide, but especially in LMICs, where it is the norm. Early diagnosis improves prognosis and outcomes, and reduces societal and individual costs, and we recommend changes to the diagnostic pathway that can be immediately implemented,” the study authors wrote.

What Comes Next

“More research is needed among various ethnic groups to expand understanding of prostate cancer beyond the findings from studies that were largely based on data from white men,” The Lancet Commission told the Financial Times.

Astute pathologists and medical laboratories will want to monitor efforts to develop assays that are inexpensive, more accurate, and produce faster answers. Demand for these tests will be substantial—both in developed and developing nations.

—Kristin Althea O’Connor

Related Information:

Prostate Cancer Rise Sparks Call for Overhaul of Testing

The Lancet Commission on Prostate Cancer: Planning for the Surge in Cases

Lancet Commission Predicts Sharp Increase in Global Prostate Cancer Cases

The Lancet: Prostate Cancer Cases Expected to Double Worldwide Between 2020 and 2040, New Analysis Suggests

Prostate Cancer Cases Might Rise to 3 Million Globally by 2040

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